Earnings Explosion: Market Surprises Leave Analysts Stunned!
SHOCKING EPS GROWTH: A 4% JUMP IN JUST A WEEK!
Hold onto your wallets! The S&P 500 has just delivered a jaw-dropping surprise, skyrocketing EPS growth expectations from a meager +9.7% last week to an electrifying +13.6% this week! Thatโs right, folksโinvestors are buzzing, and the game just changed in a BIG way!
THE REVENUE RUINS: A WHIMPER COMPARISON!
But waitโbefore you pop the champagne, revenue growth is merely creeping up at +0.9%. This disparity screams margin control, as the giants of Wall Street flex their muscles and manage to pull off some flashy earnings while revenue lags behind. Remember Q3 โ24? The EPS surprises soared to a staggering +7.5% โ 8%! Can we handle this volatility?
SECTOR SURGES: TECHNOLOGY AND COMMUNICATIONS ON FIRE!
Hold the press! The communications services sector is taking a wild ride, blasting from +10.4% to a scorching +14.8%! And itโs all thanks to none other than Meta Platforms, shaking up the scene. Meanwhile, technology isnโt far behind, nudging up slightly to +16.8%. But donโt get too excited; every other sector took a hitโexcept for financials, which managed a slight uptick.
THE FISHHOOK FRENZY: A TANGLED TALE OF EARNINGS!
Brace yourselves! Ed Yardeni has spoken of the infamous fishhook pattern, a phenomenon that rears its head like clockwork every earnings season. Analysts play coy and lower their estimates, only to have actual earnings blast past expectations! Itโs a wild dance that leaves everyone gasping for breath!
LSEG reveals the โnet incomeโ levels are on the rise, bouncing back from a slump around $507 billion in early April to now over $530 billion! And guess what? This isnโt even EPS; share buybacks are about to send those figures soaring even higher!
Buckle Up: The Rollercoaster Ahead!
Donโt even think about trying to time this volatile market! September predictions may leave you reeling, as sector growth rates fluctuate more than a stock market yo-yo. And with tweets, headlines, and political chaos looming, the earnings landscape for Q2 and Q3 โ25 is anyoneโs guess!
The Federal Reserveโs potential rate cuts are usually a golden ticket, but watch out for those pesky tax implications! This year could still flip upside downโthere are glimmers of hope!
Globally, markets are perking up, with non-US equities like Europe climbing +10% through April. And emerging markets just had a wild pop after China hinted at tariff negotiations with the U.S. But donโt get too cozyโbalanced portfolios are feeling the heat at -1.79% YTD.
High-yield credit spreads peaked earlier this month. Ironically, they were tight when the S&P 500 soared to its all-time high.
And about that tax bill? A corporate tax rate cut could spark cheers, but donโt expect a miraculous dropโmaybe just 2% to 3%. The strategists may not even see this coming!
Disclaimer: This isnโt just adviceโitโs a wild ride! Past performance means nothing in this tempestuous market!
Stay tuned! More drama and financial fireworks coming this weekend!